Following a five-game winning streak in League One, Leyton Orient will not fear the arrival of Derby at Gaughan Group Stadium on Tuesday night. However, we feel that the Rams will have enough quality on the pitch and in reserve to squeeze into the fourth round at the expense of the in-form O's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.47%).

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Derby County
54.99% ( -0.2)	25.25% ( 0.27)	19.77% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.87% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-1.02)

56.66% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.83)

77.63% (

0.83)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

-0.48)

20.62% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

-0.77)

53.18% (

0.77)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.53% (

-0.67)

43.47% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

-0.56)

79.69% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 54.98%

Derby County 19.77%

Draw 25.25%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.98%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.77%