SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
55.96% ( 6.36) | 23.3% ( -1.52) | 20.74% ( -4.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( 1.45) | 48.03% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( 1.32) | 70.19% ( -1.32) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 2.98) | 16.98% ( -2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( 5.05) | 47.09% ( -5.05) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -3.64) | 37.45% ( 3.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -3.76) | 74.24% ( 3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10% ( 1.24)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 1.2)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.7)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.72)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.52)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.96)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.9)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.43)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.74% |
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