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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Liverpool |
12.84% ( -0.28) | 16.11% ( -0.13) | 71.04% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.1) | 29.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.12) | 50.15% ( 0.12) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.47) | 35.16% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.08% ( -0.49) | 71.92% ( 0.49) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( 0.05) | 7.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.64% ( 0.15) | 26.36% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 12.84% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.11% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 5.03% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 71.04% |
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