SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
46.62% ( 0.16) | 24.67% ( -0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( 0.04) | 46.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.04) | 68.96% ( -0.04) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.09) | 20.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( 0.14) | 52.35% ( -0.14) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( -0.08) | 29.93% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( -0.09) | 66.04% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.71% |
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