SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
30.35% ( -0.12) | 24.4% ( -0.02) | 45.25% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.03) | 44.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.02) | 66.99% ( -0.02) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.07) | 27.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.09) | 63.32% ( 0.09) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.07) | 19.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 0.12) | 51.94% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 45.25% |
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