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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Laithwaite Community Stadium
OU

Woking
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Ince (43')
Moss (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bodin (39'), Goodrham (53')
Moore (76'), O'Donkor (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Woking
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Woking 0-2 Oxford United

Given their respective form, we expect this contest to be far more competitive than many may anticipate. Nevertheless, there is little doubting that the superior quality is in the ranks of the visitors, who we feel will battle their way to a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Woking had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Woking win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
WokingDrawOxford United
26.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.53%50.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Woking Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.23% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64%17.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)47.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Woking 26.2%
    Oxford United 50.27%
    Draw 23.52%
WokingDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 26.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Woking
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 0-2 Woking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 3-3 Dorking
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Woking
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One


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