SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Lyon |
65.17% ( 0.35) | 18.48% ( 0.02) | 16.34% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.86) | 32.99% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.29% ( -1) | 54.71% ( 0.99) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( -0.16) | 9.53% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.06% ( -0.37) | 31.93% ( 0.36) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -0.97) | 33.25% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( -1.08) | 69.86% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.71% Total : 65.17% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.81% Total : 16.34% |
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