Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
