Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.