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Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
WP

Victory
3 - 1
Wellington

D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
56.04%21.99%21.98%
Both teams to score 58.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28%40.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89%63.11%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59%14.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67%42.33%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86%32.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38%68.62%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 56.04%
    Wellington Phoenix 21.98%
    Draw 21.99%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 1.75%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-1 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Victory
Monday, April 25 at 5.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-4 Victory
Friday, April 22 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Victory
Saturday, April 16 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, April 12 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 9 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-1 Victory
Wednesday, April 6 at 12.05pm in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, April 24 at 4.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-4 Central Coast
Sunday, April 17 at 4.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-1 Wellington
Wednesday, April 13 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-4 Wellington
Saturday, April 9 at 5.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 5-0 Wellington
Tuesday, April 5 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-6 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 2 at 6.35am in Australian A-League


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