SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
54.16% ( 0.17) | 22.97% ( -0.06) | 22.87% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.15) | 44.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0.14) | 66.48% ( -0.14) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( 0.11) | 16.21% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.29% ( 0.2) | 45.71% ( -0.2) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( -0.02) | 33.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( -0.02) | 69.83% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.87% |
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