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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Olympiacos |
31.49% ( -4.61) | 23.98% ( -0.42) | 44.53% ( 5.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.74) | 42.18% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.74) | 64.58% ( -0.74) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( -2.32) | 25.81% ( 2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -3.24) | 60.77% ( 3.24) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 2.59) | 19.17% ( -2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( 4.12) | 50.83% ( -4.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.71)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.83)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.56)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.54)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.53) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.66)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.41)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.28% Total : 44.53% |
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