Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academico de Viseu would win this match.
0) 
-0.02) 
