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Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
May 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
AD

Excelsior
7 - 1
ADO Den Haag

Parrott (3', 27', 31' pen.), Driouech (40'), Baas (55' pen.), Goudmijn (71'), Lamprou (72')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Veerman (45+2')
van der Sande (16')
van Hintum (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 ADO Den Haag

SBV Excelsior are the target to shoot down during these Eredivisie playoffs, but the Kralingers have showing no signs of shrinking under the pressure. ADO Den Haag have an almighty task on their hands after failing to take advantage of home advantage in the first leg, and we feel that their charge for the Eredivisie will end in Rotterdam this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawADO Den Haag
43.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 33.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)37.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.31% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.26% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.71% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 43.49%
    ADO Den Haag 33.42%
    Draw 23.08%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 43.49%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Heracles
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 De Graafschap
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-3 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, May 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Jong PSV
Friday, May 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-2 ADO Den Haag
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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