Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
43.49% (![]() | 23.09% (![]() | 33.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.88% (![]() | 37.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% (![]() | 59.31% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% (![]() | 17.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% (![]() | 48.09% (![]() |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
2-1 @ 8.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 4.02% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.42% |
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