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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
60.77% ( 0.03) | 20.11% ( 0.02) | 19.12% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.13% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.2) | 35.91% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.22) | 57.99% ( 0.22) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.52% ( -0.05) | 11.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.67% ( -0.11) | 36.33% ( 0.11) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.17) | 32.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -0.2) | 68.54% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.77% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.12% |
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