Sunday's visitors certainly put up an impressive display to hold Sevilla, and they will hope to do the same here, but we see them falling short this time. La Real will be wounded from their thrashing last time out, and with the need for a victory in their top-four fight, Alguacil's side should have what it takes to get over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Alaves
68.74%	20.04%	11.21%

Both teams to score 40.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4%

51.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61%

73.38%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01%

13.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49%

41.5%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.43%

52.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.62%

86.37%

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 68.74%

Alaves 11.21%

Draw 20.04%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.46% 2-0 @ 14.22% 3-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.2% Total : 68.74%	1-1 @ 9.3% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.04%	0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 2.99% 0-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.97% Total : 11.21%