Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%).
0.26) 
-0.06) 
