Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%).
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