SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Caen | 38 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Le Havre | 38 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 | Nimes | 38 | -7 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Guingamp | 38 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | Caen | 38 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Le Havre | 38 | -3 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Caen had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Caen |
| 42.42% | 28.68% | 28.9% |
| Both teams to score 44.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.09% | 61.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% | 81.67% |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% | 28.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.25% | 64.75% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.38% | 74.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.19% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.9% |
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