SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Nacional |
55.49% ( -1.35) | 23.67% ( 0.74) | 20.84% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( -2.33) | 49.45% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( -2.13) | 71.49% ( 2.13) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -1.32) | 17.67% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( -2.34) | 48.3% ( 2.33) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.71) | 38.17% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% ( -0.69) | 74.93% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.48% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.84% |
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