Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chaves win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 27.46% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.76%).
0.03) 
-0.01) 
