Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
Result | ||
Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
17.9% ( 0.01) | 20.12% ( 0.03) | 61.98% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.98% ( -0.11) | 38.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.72% ( -0.12) | 60.28% ( 0.11) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.38% ( -0.05) | 34.61% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.66% ( -0.05) | 71.33% ( 0.05) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.2% ( -0.04) | 11.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% ( -0.09) | 37% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.9% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.65% 1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 61.98% |
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