Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Venezia in this match.
-0.03) 
0.13) 
