A year into Russell Martin's reign, Southampton have a relatively settled squad, while Lazio are undergoing something of a rebuild. Therefore, Saints will make the most of home advantage to post another morale-boosting friendly win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Lazio
44.73% ( -0.01)	23.91% ( -0)	31.36% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.12% (

0.01)

41.88% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.71% (

0.01)

64.28% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04%

18.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

50.48% (

-0)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

0.01)

25.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31% (

0.02)

60.68% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Southampton 44.73%

Lazio 31.36%

Draw 23.9%

Southampton	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.36%