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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 29, 2023 at 1am UK
BMO Field
HN

Canada
4 - 1
Honduras

Larin (8', 11'), David (49'), Osorio (86')
Johnston (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benguche (73')
Martinez (84')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Canada and Honduras.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawHonduras
70.95% (-0.928 -0.93) 18.78% (0.575 0.57) 10.27% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 41.35% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-1.402 -1.4)48.95% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-1.282 -1.28)71.04% (1.282 1.28)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)12.54% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (-1.401 -1.4)38.57% (1.402 1.4)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.27% (-0.171 -0.17)52.73% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.53% (-0.108 -0.11)86.47% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Canada 70.95%
    Honduras 10.27%
    Draw 18.78%
CanadaDrawHonduras
2-0 @ 14.25% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.172 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 70.95%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.233 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.372 0.37)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.78%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 1-2 Morocco
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Croatia 4-1 Canada
Sunday, November 27 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Canada
Wednesday, November 23 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Canada
Thursday, November 17 at 1.40pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Canada
Friday, November 11 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Honduras
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Honduras
Thursday, October 27 at 4.59pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Guatemala
Wednesday, September 28 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League


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