Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result | ||
Canada | Draw | Honduras |
70.95% ( -0.93) | 18.78% ( 0.57) | 10.27% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 41.35% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -1.4) | 48.95% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -1.28) | 71.04% ( 1.28) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.47% ( -0.67) | 12.54% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.44% ( -1.4) | 38.57% ( 1.4) |
Honduras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.27% ( -0.17) | 52.73% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.53% ( -0.11) | 86.47% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Canada | Draw | Honduras |
2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 70.95% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.78% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.27% |
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