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Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
GN

Mexico
2 - 0
Guatemala

Jimenez (14' pen.), de la Rosa (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saravia (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 Mexico
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 4-0 French Guiana
Tuesday, March 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Mexico 2-0 Guatemala

We expect Mexico to have too much quality for Guatemala, who have failed to score in each of the last five meetings between these two teams. Cocca will expect his players to build momentum ahead of important fixtures in the Nations League and Gold Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 9.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawGuatemala
71.97% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 18.94% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 9.09% (0.0091000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)52.73% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.44% (0.012 0.01)57.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)89.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 71.96%
    Guatemala 9.09%
    Draw 18.94%
MexicoDrawGuatemala
2-0 @ 15.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 1-1 Mexico
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Jamaica
Monday, March 27 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 0-2 Mexico
Friday, March 24 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 26 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Poland
Tuesday, November 22 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 4-0 French Guiana
Tuesday, March 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-2 Guatemala
Saturday, March 25 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Nicaragua
Sunday, November 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 2-0 Guatemala
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Guatemala
Wednesday, September 28 at 2am in International Friendlies


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