SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Haiti | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Qatar | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Honduras | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Qatar |
66.7% ( -0.53) | 20.64% ( 0.24) | 12.66% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.33) | 50.68% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.29) | 72.58% ( 0.29) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( -0.27) | 14.33% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( -0.52) | 42.17% ( 0.52) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.27) | 49.48% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.7% ( 0.19) | 84.29% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 66.69% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.66% |
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