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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Levi's Stadium
QN

Mexico
0 - 1
Qatar


Gimenez (67'), Arteaga (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shehata (27')
Al Bayati (31'), Fathy (45+3'), Salman (45+4'), Al-Abdullah (48'), Almejaba (81'), Mashaal (90'), Barsham (87'), Madibo (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 1-3 Mexico
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico266
2Haiti2-13
3Qatar2-11
4Honduras2-41
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Honduras
Friday, June 30 at 12.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico266
2Haiti2-13
3Qatar2-11
4Honduras2-41

We said: Mexico 2-0 Qatar

While they have started well in both of their Gold Cup encounters, Qatar have not been able to deliver that killer blow, and they tend to lose their focus at the most inopportune moment. Mexico have looked like a different team since Lozano took over, and even though they are already assured of a place in the last eight, we expect to see another inspired performance from El Tri, who seem to have regained their confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawQatar
66.7% (-0.529 -0.53) 20.64% (0.239 0.24) 12.66% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 43.28% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.328 -0.33)50.68% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.29 -0.29)72.58% (0.286 0.29)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)14.33% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.83% (-0.52 -0.52)42.17% (0.51799999999999 0.52)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.52% (0.273 0.27)49.48% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.7% (0.191 0.19)84.29% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 66.69%
    Qatar 12.66%
    Draw 20.64%
MexicoDrawQatar
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 66.69%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.41% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Haiti 1-3 Mexico
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Mexico
Friday, June 16 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Cameroon
Sunday, June 11 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Guatemala
Thursday, June 8 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Honduras
Friday, June 30 at 12.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup


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