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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.36am UK
Allegiant Stadium
MN

Jamaica
0 - 3
Mexico


Lowe (29'), Lambert (39'), Bernard (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martin (2'), Chavez (30'), Alvarado (90+3')
Uriel (61'), Alvarez (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, July 9 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Jamaica 1-1 Mexico (Jamaica advances on penalties).

By now, both of these veteran sides know what it is like to play in these high stakes encounters, and we expect a close match between two well-balanced teams on Wednesday. We believe the Jamaicans might have a slight edge regarding consistency and goalkeeping, and the latter will come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Jamaica win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
26.52%27.19%46.29%
Both teams to score 46.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34%78.66%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.41%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.7%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 26.52%
    Mexico 46.28%
    Draw 27.19%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 4-1 Trin. & Tob.
Thursday, June 29 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Jamaica
Sunday, June 25 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Jordan
Monday, June 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, July 9 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Qatar
Monday, July 3 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 1-3 Mexico
Friday, June 30 at 3am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Monday, June 26 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Mexico
Friday, June 16 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League


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