Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
