Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 7.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.43%) and 3-0 (11.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
