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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
47.52% ( 0.37) | 23.76% ( 0.02) | 28.72% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.37% ( -0.31) | 42.62% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.31) | 65.03% ( 0.31) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( 0.03) | 18.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( 0.04) | 49.08% ( -0.04) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.41) | 27.85% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.55% ( -0.53) | 63.45% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.52% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.72% |
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