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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
BF

Cape Verde
3 - 1
Burkina Faso

Bebe (7'), Paulo (67'), Cle (90+4')
Mendes (88'), Tavares (90+6'), Tavares (90+2'), Cle (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dayo (45+3')
Toure (39'), Yago (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Cape Verde 1-2 Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will approach this weekend's encounter with a lot of confidence. While we expect Cape Verde to give them a run for their money, we are backing the away side to carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 39.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 29.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 1-0 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawBurkina Faso
29.53% (-0.562 -0.56) 31.07% (-0.023 -0.02) 39.39% (0.585 0.59)
Both teams to score 38.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)68.84% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.51% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)86.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.484 -0.48)41.28% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.2% (-0.431 -0.43)77.8% (0.431 0.43)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.342 0.34)34.24% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (0.365 0.36)70.94% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 29.53%
    Burkina Faso 39.39%
    Draw 31.06%
Cape VerdeDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 29.53%
0-0 @ 14.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 13.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.06%
0-1 @ 15.14% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Cape Verde
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 1-2 Cape Verde
Friday, September 23 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cape Verde 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, June 7 at 6.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-0 Cape Verde
Friday, June 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Ivory Coast
Saturday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 0-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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