SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 39.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 29.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 1-0 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cape Verde | Draw | Burkina Faso |
29.53% ( -0.56) | 31.07% ( -0.02) | 39.39% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 38.62% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.16% ( -0.05) | 68.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.51% ( -0.03) | 86.49% ( 0.03) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.48) | 41.28% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.2% ( -0.43) | 77.8% ( 0.43) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.34) | 34.24% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( 0.36) | 70.94% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cape Verde | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 29.53% | 0-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.06% | 0-1 @ 15.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.39% |
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