SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 80.66%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.53%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Bolivia |
80.66% ( 0.01) | 12.87% ( -0.01) | 6.47% |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.06) | 34.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.28% ( 0.07) | 56.71% ( -0.07) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.34% ( 0.01) | 6.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.32% ( 0.04) | 24.68% ( -0.04) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.76% ( 0.04) | 52.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.84% ( 0.03) | 86.16% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 80.66% | 1-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 12.87% | 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.23% Total : 6.47% |
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