SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Senegal win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Senegal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Senegal |
45.11% ( 0.01) | 23.55% ( 0.01) | 31.34% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.07) | 40.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.07) | 62.56% ( 0.08) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( -0.02) | 18.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( -0.05) | 49.09% ( 0.05) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.04) | 24.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -0.06) | 59.57% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Senegal |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.34% |
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