SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.7%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Guinea |
44.94% ( -0.2) | 30.17% ( 0.06) | 24.89% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 38.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32% ( -0.1) | 68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.07% ( -0.06) | 85.94% ( 0.07) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -0.16) | 30.54% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( -0.19) | 66.77% ( 0.19) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.14% ( 0.07) | 44.86% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.18% ( 0.06) | 80.82% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 16.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 44.94% | 0-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.16% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.89% |
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