SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
46.04% ( 0.08) | 29.76% ( 0) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 38.71% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.78% ( -0.05) | 67.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.59% ( -0.04) | 85.41% ( 0.03) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.02) | 29.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0.02) | 65.57% ( -0.02) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.12) | 45.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.02% ( -0.09) | 80.98% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.32% Total : 46.04% | 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.2% |
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