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Friendlies 3
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Bonfim
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Guinea
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Guinea and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match.

Result
GuineaDrawGuinea-Bissau
46.04% (0.080999999999996 0.08) 29.76% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.21% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 38.71% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.78% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)67.22% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.59% (-0.035 -0.04)85.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (0.022000000000006 0.02)65.57% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.115 -0.12)45.06% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)80.98% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 46.04%
    Guinea-Bissau 24.2%
    Draw 29.76%
GuineaDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 16.23% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 46.04%
0-0 @ 13.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 29.76%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 24.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Egypt
Wednesday, June 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-3 Guinea
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Ethiopia
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Gabon
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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