SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Guinea |
48.61% ( -0.16) | 27% ( 0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.08) | 58.65% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.06) | 79.2% ( 0.06) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.58% ( 0.15) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( 0.06) | 39.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( 0.05) | 76.58% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.38% |
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