SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%).
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Barbados |
43.96% ( -27.11) | 22.46% ( 4.68) | 33.58% ( 22.44) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 18.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 8.29) | 33.93% ( -8.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 8.84) | 55.78% ( -8.83) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -5.49) | 16.1% ( 5.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( -11.11) | 45.5% ( 11.11) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 26.07) | 20.68% ( -26.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( 29.02) | 53.27% ( -29.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.74) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -5.03)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -6.92)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -1.77)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 1.5)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -5.95)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -1.55)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.4)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -3.69)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.62)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 3.29)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -1.63)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.52)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 4.34) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 1.48)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 2.7)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 3.15)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 2.71)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1.81)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 1.41)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 1.25)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58% |
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