SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.3%. A draw has a probability of 13.7% and a win for Macao has a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Macao win it is 1-2 (2.45%).
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
78.3% ( -0.11) | 13.69% ( 0.06) | 8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.09) | 32.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( -0.1) | 54.1% ( 0.09) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.36% ( -0.05) | 6.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.11) | 24.62% ( 0.1) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.51% ( 0.06) | 46.48% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.91% ( 0.05) | 82.09% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
| 2-0 @ 11.34% 3-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 78.29% | 1-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 13.69% | 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 8% |
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