SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Jordan |
42.24% ( -0.12) | 27.85% ( 0.02) | 29.91% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.26% ( -0.05) | 58.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% ( -0.04) | 79.26% ( 0.04) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.09) | 27.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( -0.12) | 62.95% ( 0.12) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( 0.05) | 35.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( 0.05) | 72.09% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.9% |
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