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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
First Statement Stadium
EG
Libya
1 - 1
Eq Guinea
Taqtaq (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elo Ayeto (62')
Miranda (57'), Buyla (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Libya 0-2 Equatorial Guinea

With top-spot potentially on the line, we expect Equatorial Guinea to come out guns blazing at the Martyrs of February Stadium on Wednesday. They take on a struggling Libyan side, who have also lost each of their last three encounters, and we fancy them picking up all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
LibyaDrawEquatorial Guinea
49.22% (-2.55 -2.55) 26.06% (0.607 0.61) 24.71% (1.941 1.94)
Both teams to score 48.42% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.661 -0.66)55.04% (0.65799999999999 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.549 -0.55)76.31% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-1.372 -1.37)22.4% (1.37 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-2.095 -2.1)55.91% (2.093 2.09)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (1.437 1.44)37.6% (-1.438 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (1.379 1.38)74.38% (-1.381 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Libya 49.22%
    Equatorial Guinea 24.71%
    Draw 26.06%
LibyaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 12.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.554 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.486 -0.49)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.516 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.366 0.37)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.398 0.4)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 3-1 Ethiopia
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Rwanda
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

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