Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
England	Draw	North Macedonia
43.93% ( -14.68)	21.71% ( -1.6)	34.36% ( 16.28)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

22.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

21.74)

29.83% (

-21.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

22.38)

50.99% (

-22.38)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

2.82)

14.5% (

-2.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

5.18)

42.49% (

-5.19)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

24.05)

18.38% (

-24.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

29.29)

49.52% (

-29.29)

Score Analysis

England 43.93%

North Macedonia 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

England	Draw	North Macedonia
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -1.27) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -7.73) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -6.32) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 2.16) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -3.4) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 1.15) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -1.35) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.95) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -2.32) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.98) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -4.68) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.9) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 2.65) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -1.79) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.82) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.84) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1.12) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.39) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.48) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.45) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.95) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.75) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%