SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Turkmenistan win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%).
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Turkmenistan |
48.39% ( 0.62) | 24.6% ( 0.03) | 27.01% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.58) | 47.51% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.54) | 69.72% ( 0.55) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( 0.03) | 19.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% ( 0.04) | 51.69% ( -0.03) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.8) | 31.63% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.93) | 68.03% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.01% |
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