SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 84.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.78%) and 0-4 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Iran |
4.57% ( 0.05) | 10.67% ( -0.04) | 84.77% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.53% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.56) | 32.66% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.67% ( 0.65) | 54.33% ( -0.64) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.64) | 57.13% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.88% ( 0.35) | 89.12% ( -0.34) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.55% ( 0.11) | 5.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.69% ( 0.3) | 21.31% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkmenistan | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 4.57% | 1-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.67% | 0-2 @ 13.18% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 12.78% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 9.3% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.21% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)0-7 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 84.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
