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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Bunyodkor
TN

Uzbekistan
3 - 1
Turkmenistan

Aliqulov (17'), Urunov (29'), Nasrullayev (70')
Ashurmatov (45'), Nasrullayev (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tirkishov (25')
Basimow (63'), Nurmuradov (90')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-0 Hong Kong
Tuesday, March 26 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 6.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (12.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawTurkmenistan
79% (-4.275 -4.27) 14.51% (2.651 2.65) 6.49% (1.62 1.62)
Both teams to score 38.37% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (-5.412 -5.41)42.94% (5.407 5.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (-5.585 -5.59)65.35% (5.579 5.58)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-2.153 -2.15)8.84% (2.147 2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.71% (-5.496 -5.5)30.28% (5.491 5.49)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.09% (1.671 1.67)57.91% (-1.678 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.45% (0.8891 0.89)89.54% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 78.99%
    Turkmenistan 6.49%
    Draw 14.51%
UzbekistanDrawTurkmenistan
2-0 @ 15.06% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 12.41% (1.63 1.63)
3-0 @ 12.18% (-0.96 -0.96)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.679 0.68)
4-0 @ 7.39% (-1.497 -1.5)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.564 -0.56)
5-0 @ 3.58% (-1.221 -1.22)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.53 -0.53)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.056 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.45% (-0.716 -0.72)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 78.99%
1-1 @ 6.78% (1.2 1.2)
0-0 @ 5.12% (1.131 1.13)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.293 0.29)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 14.51%
0-1 @ 2.8% (0.732 0.73)
1-2 @ 1.85% (0.407 0.41)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 6.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-0 Hong Kong
Tuesday, March 26 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Uzbekistan (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-1 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, January 23 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: India 0-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-2 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, November 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Bahrain 1-1 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies


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