Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.