Nigeria will be counting on the support of their home crowd as they take on their close rivals Ghana for a place in Qatar. On paper, Nigeria head into the game as favourites to come away with the results as they boast a plethora of world-class talents across all department of the pitch. While we expect the Black Stars to cause an upset, we are tipping Nigeria to come away with the win, albeit by the odd goal.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
