Bulgaria
2 - 1
N. Ireland

Nedelev (53', 63')
Malinov (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Washington (35')
Ballard (69'), Dallas (88'), Baraclough (90+3')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bulgaria in this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Northern Ireland
40.59%	24.32%	35.1%

Both teams to score 60.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.36%

42.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.95%

65.05%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05%

53.96%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08%

23.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86%

58.14%

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 40.59%

Northern Ireland 35.1%

Draw 24.31%

Bulgaria	Draw	Northern Ireland
2-1 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.1%