SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Brazil |
18.89% ( 0.09) | 27.62% ( 0.25) | 53.49% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 38% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.62) | 65.03% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.09% ( -0.44) | 83.91% ( 0.44) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.26) | 49.45% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.72% ( -0.19) | 84.27% ( 0.19) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.44) | 24.82% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( -0.61) | 59.41% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.89% | 0-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.28) 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 17.1% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 11.91% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.99% Total : 53.48% |
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