SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.97%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Peru |
47.38% ( -0.49) | 29.32% ( 0.38) | 23.3% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 38.95% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.48% ( -0.99) | 66.52% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.06% ( -0.68) | 84.94% ( 0.68) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.74) | 28.49% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -0.93) | 64.26% ( 0.93) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( -0.47) | 45.52% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( -0.38) | 81.35% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 47.37% | 0-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.47) 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.29% |
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